November Senate Approval Numbers from Survey USA
SUSA is up with their November numbers.
Republicans:
Coleman managed to blink above the 50% danger line this month, but not by much; hardly enough to wipe away the "vulnerable" designation.
As has been remarked on the blog already, these are the worst numbers of McConnell's career and his first net negative approval rating. Good times.
After nudging back up into the high-50's, Roberts is treading perilously close to the 50% danger line.
I hate to say it, but Jeff Sessions is looking quite safe.
As with Coleman, Smith managed to blink above the 50% danger line this month, but, again, not by much; still very vulnerable.
Democrats:
Harkin is looking just comfortable enough for me to say something snarky like, "I hope Tom Latham does challenge Harkin, just to open up Latham's House seat!"
C'mon, NRSC! Kerry is soooo vulnerable. Go for it!
Republicans:
| Norm Coleman | 11/20/07 | 10/18/07 | 9/25/07 | 8/21/07 | 7/24/07 | 6/19/07 | 11/22/06 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Approve | 53 | 49 | 46 | 47 | 43 | 48 | 48 |
| Disapprove | 40 | 42 | 45 | 44 | 48 | 41 | 43 |
Coleman managed to blink above the 50% danger line this month, but not by much; hardly enough to wipe away the "vulnerable" designation.
| Mitch McConnell | 11/20/07 | 10/18/07 | 9/25/07 | 8/21/07 | 7/24/07 | 6/19/07 | 11/22/06 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Approve | 44 | 49 | 51 | 50 | 48 | 52 | 54 |
| Disapprove | 47 | 45 | 40 | 43 | 44 | 42 | 39 |
As has been remarked on the blog already, these are the worst numbers of McConnell's career and his first net negative approval rating. Good times.
| Pat Roberts | 11/20/07 | 10/18/07 | 9/25/07 | 8/21/07 | 7/24/07 | 6/19/07 | 11/22/06 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Approve | 51 | 55 | 57 | 54 | 52 | 51 | 51 |
| Disapprove | 38 | 36 | 32 | 33 | 34 | 37 | 36 |
After nudging back up into the high-50's, Roberts is treading perilously close to the 50% danger line.
| Jeff Sessions | 11/20/07 | 10/18/07 | 9/25/07 | 8/21/07 | 7/24/07 | 6/19/07 | 11/22/06 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Approve | 60 | 54 | 56 | 59 | 58 | 59 | 58 |
| Disapprove | 30 | 37 | 34 | 33 | 33 | 33 | 32 |
I hate to say it, but Jeff Sessions is looking quite safe.
| Gordon Smith | 11/20/07 | 10/18/07 | 9/25/07 | 8/21/07 | 7/24/07 | 6/19/07 | 11/22/06 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Approve | 52 | 49 | 48 | 46 | 48 | 47 | 54 |
| Disapprove | 38 | 42 | 42 | 44 | 43 | 45 | 37 |
As with Coleman, Smith managed to blink above the 50% danger line this month, but, again, not by much; still very vulnerable.
Democrats:
| Tom Harkin | 11/20/07 | 10/18/07 | 9/25/07 | 8/21/07 | 7/24/07 | 6/19/07 | 11/22/06 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Approve | 58 | 53 | 53 | 57 | 55 | 51 | 53 |
| Disapprove | 37 | 42 | 40 | 35 | 38 | 38 | 40 |
Harkin is looking just comfortable enough for me to say something snarky like, "I hope Tom Latham does challenge Harkin, just to open up Latham's House seat!"
| John Kerry | 11/20/07 | 10/18/07 | 9/25/07 | 8/21/07 | 7/24/07 | 6/19/07 | 11/22/06 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Approve | 51 | 54 | 52 | 47 | 52 | 50 | 48 |
| Disapprove | 43 | 41 | 42 | 45 | 42 | 46 | 50 |
C'mon, NRSC! Kerry is soooo vulnerable. Go for it!
posted by Senate2008Guru | 7:13 PM
4 Comments:
Ouch. I don't like those Smith/Coleman trends. Hopefully, they'll be outliers. (Though I still don't think we'll take those seats...)
Personally, I think the approval ratings of Smith/Coleman at the moment, are pretty irrelevant. Head to head polls show Franken and Ciresi neck and neck with Coleman a year before election day. Although Smith has a small lead over Merkley (who announced not too long ago and still needs to up name recognition), I expect that race to be neck and neck soon as well. Taking this into concideration and seeing how far away we are from election day, I have little doubt right now that we will take both seats.
SUSA didn't poll Landrieu, or Inhofe. Coryn is at 42/43 (37/48 among independents). That's okay by me.
I think we WILL take both the Smith and Coleman seats, although I'm pulling for Jack Nelson-Pallmyer to beat Franken for the Democratic nomination in MN. Sessions was always a longshot and Vivien Figures has never run for a statewide national office (so she's a virtual unknown to most of Alabama)AND she's trying to become the first African-American senator from the South since Reconstruction! So, Sessions was always going to be an uphill fight--but still worth having.
If KY Dems get our act together behind Crit Luallen, I like our chances for knocking off McConnell, but we need to get it in gear--his campaign war chest is huge.
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